Seasonality (Monthly Trends)
Counts monthly movements over the past 20 years (2006โ2025). This is not a forecast of price action for this year, nor a recommendation to buy or sell. (Calculated 2026-11-02 15:56)
USD/JPY(Up = JPY weakness / USD strength, 2006โ2025)
How Month 11 performed in typical years
Month 11: Up years 11Times / Down years 9Times
Average +0.56%/ Median +0.24%(2006โ2025) / Past 10 years: 5/10 times
Volatility rank: #7 of 12 months | Days moving 1% or more: 2.2 days per 1 year(s)
Month 11 so far this year +0.03%(Close on 2026-11-02: 157.85)
Monthly average changes (bars / numbers = avg %) and median (dots) Bottom numbers = Up years / Total years
Typical pattern vs. This year Typical pattern = Cumulative line of monthly averages starting from Month 1 over the past 20 years This year
Monthly table
| Month | Up years Out of 20 years | Average Median | Highest / Lowest Year | Volatility 1-day average | Large move days 1% or more | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Month 1 | 7/20 Past 10 years: 4/10 | -0.61% Median: -1.12% | 2013: +5.9% 2008: -4.8% | 0.46% 5th largest | 2.2 days Per 1 year(s) | -2.08% |
| Month 2 | 10/20 Past 10 years: 6/10 | +0.54% Median: -0.14% | 2009: +8.6% 2016: -4.4% | 0.46% 4th largest | 2.1 days Per 1 year(s) | +1.76% |
| Month 3 | 11/20 Past 10 years: 3/10 | +0.69% Median: +0.53% | 2022: +5.6% 2008: -3.8% | 0.53% 1th largest | 3.1 days Per 1 year(s) | +2.55% |
| Month 4 | 9/20 Past 10 years: 5/10 | +0.15% Median: -0.30% | 2022: +7.2% 2025: -4.9% | 0.47% 3th largest | 2.2 days Per 1 year(s) | +0.21% |
| Month 5 | 10/20 Past 10 years: 6/10 | +0.28% Median: +0.03% | 2023: +4.5% 2009: -3.3% | 0.45% 6th largest | 1.9 days Per 1 year(s) | -0.57% |
| Month 6 | 12/20 Past 10 years: 7/10 | +0.28% Median: +0.54% | 2022: +6.9% 2016: -7.3% | 0.42% 11th largest | 1.6 days Per 1 year(s) | +1.67% |
| Month 7 | 8/20 Past 10 years: 4/10 | -0.87% Median: -1.18% | 2025: +3.3% 2024: -5.0% | 0.43% 8th largest | 1.8 days Per 1 year(s) | -1.07% |
| Month 8 | 10/20 Past 10 years: 5/10 | -0.35% Median: -0.02% | 2023: +3.8% 2024: -5.1% | 0.48% 2th largest | 2.2 days Per 1 year(s) | -0.04% |
| Month 9 | 11/20 Past 10 years: 8/10 | +0.38% Median: +0.10% | 2014: +5.5% 2009: -3.2% | 0.42% 10th largest | 1.6 days Per 1 year(s) | -1.70% |
| Month 10 | 12/20 Past 10 years: 7/10 | +0.54% Median: +0.52% | 2024: +7.3% 2008: -7.2% | 0.41% 12th largest | 1.4 days Per 1 year(s) | +0.25% |
| Month 11 | 11/20 Past 10 years: 5/10 | +0.56% Median: +0.24% | 2014: +7.9% 2022: -6.1% | 0.45% 7th largest | 2.2 days Per 1 year(s) | +0.03% |
| Month 12 | 10/20 Past 10 years: 5/10 | +0.27% Median: -0.01% | 2009: +7.7% 2008: -5.1% | 0.43% 9th largest | 1.8 days Per 1 year(s) | โ |
EURUSD(Rise = Strong EUR / Weak USD, 2006โ2025)
How Month 11 performed in typical years
Month 11: Up years 10Times / Down years 10Times
Average -0.37%/ Median +0.03%(2006โ2025) / Past 10 years: 6/10 times
Volatility rank: #3 of 12 months | Days moving 1% or more: 2.2 days per 1 year(s)
Month 11 so far this year +0.06%(Close on 2026-11-02: 1.1189)
Monthly average changes (bars / numbers = avg %) and median (dots) Bottom numbers = Up years / Total years
Typical pattern vs. This year Typical pattern = Cumulative line of monthly averages starting from Month 1 over the past 20 years This year
Monthly table
| Month | Up years Out of 20 years | Average Median | Highest / Lowest Year | Volatility 1-day average | Large move days 1% or more | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Month 1 | 10/20 Past 10 years: 5/10 | -0.51% Median: -0.03% | 2018: +3.9% 2009: -8.2% | 0.46% 2th largest | 2.0 days Per 1 year(s) | +1.86% |
| Month 2 | 7/20 Past 10 years: 2/10 | -0.30% Median: -0.20% | 2012: +2.6% 2013: -3.1% | 0.43% 4th largest | 1.6 days Per 1 year(s) | -1.36% |
| Month 3 | 12/20 Past 10 years: 6/10 | +0.64% Median: +0.46% | 2009: +4.5% 2021: -3.6% | 0.48% 1th largest | 2.2 days Per 1 year(s) | -2.91% |
| Month 4 | 11/20 Past 10 years: 5/10 | +0.78% Median: +0.32% | 2025: +5.2% 2022: -5.9% | 0.40% 9th largest | 1.6 days Per 1 year(s) | +1.96% |
| Month 5 | 7/20 Past 10 years: 5/10 | -0.73% Median: -0.50% | 2009: +7.0% 2010: -7.6% | 0.43% 6th largest | 1.9 days Per 1 year(s) | -0.27% |
| Month 6 | 11/20 Past 10 years: 5/10 | +0.37% Median: +0.41% | 2025: +3.1% 2022: -3.0% | 0.43% 5th largest | 1.6 days Per 1 year(s) | -1.98% |
| Month 7 | 9/20 Past 10 years: 5/10 | +0.38% Median: -0.07% | 2010: +6.6% 2025: -2.5% | 0.39% 11th largest | 1.4 days Per 1 year(s) | +0.89% |
| Month 8 | 10/20 Past 10 years: 5/10 | -0.11% Median: +0.03% | 2015: +2.5% 2008: -5.9% | 0.39% 10th largest | 1.2 days Per 1 year(s) | +0.57% |
| Month 9 | 9/20 Past 10 years: 3/10 | -0.18% Median: -0.59% | 2010: +7.6% 2011: -5.9% | 0.42% 7th largest | 1.4 days Per 1 year(s) | -2.14% |
| Month 10 | 11/20 Past 10 years: 4/10 | -0.44% Median: +0.44% | 2011: +4.1% 2008: -9.9% | 0.41% 8th largest | 1.8 days Per 1 year(s) | -1.39% |
| Month 11 | 10/20 Past 10 years: 6/10 | -0.37% Median: +0.03% | 2006: +3.8% 2011: -5.8% | 0.43% 3th largest | 2.2 days Per 1 year(s) | +0.06% |
| Month 12 | 13/20 Past 10 years: 8/10 | +0.83% Median: +0.81% | 2008: +10.1% 2009: -4.7% | 0.39% 12th largest | 1.4 days Per 1 year(s) | โ |
Gold(Rise = Gold price gain (Futures/USD), 2006โ2025)
How Month 11 performed in typical years
Month 11: Up years 11Times / Down years 9Times
Average +1.01%/ Median +0.42%(2006โ2025) / Past 10 years: 5/10 times
Volatility rank: #3 of 12 months | Days moving 2% or more: 1.7 days per 1 year(s)
Month 11 so far this year +0.37%(Close on 2026-11-02: 3,913.4)
Monthly average changes (bars / numbers = avg %) and median (dots) Bottom numbers = Up years / Total years
Typical pattern vs. This year Typical pattern = Cumulative line of monthly averages starting from Month 1 over the past 20 years This year
Monthly table
| Month | Up years Out of 20 years | Average Median | Highest / Lowest Year | Volatility 1-day average | Large move days 2% or more | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Month 1 | 14/20 More positive years Past 10 years: 7/10 | +3.48% Median: +3.71% | 2012: +11.0% 2011: -6.1% | 0.78% 9th largest | 1.3 days Per 1 year(s) | +9.31% |
| Month 2 | 11/20 Past 10 years: 5/10 | +0.93% Median: +0.79% | 2016: +10.5% 2021: -6.4% | 0.80% 8th largest | 1.4 days Per 1 year(s) | +10.60% |
| Month 3 | 10/20 Past 10 years: 7/10 | +0.81% Median: -0.20% | 2025: +9.6% 2008: -5.8% | 0.86% 2th largest | 1.7 days Per 1 year(s) | -11.44% |
| Month 4 | 12/20 Past 10 years: 7/10 | +1.82% Median: +1.52% | 2006: +12.0% 2013: -7.7% | 0.87% 1th largest | 1.8 days Per 1 year(s) | -0.39% |
| Month 5 | 9/20 Past 10 years: 5/10 | -0.17% Median: -1.07% | 2009: +9.9% 2012: -6.1% | 0.81% 6th largest | 1.4 days Per 1 year(s) | -0.79% |
| Month 6 | 9/20 Past 10 years: 5/10 | -0.40% Median: -1.63% | 2016: +8.5% 2013: -12.1% | 0.77% 10th largest | 1.5 days Per 1 year(s) | -12.07% |
| Month 7 | 13/20 Past 10 years: 7/10 | +1.34% Median: +2.11% | 2020: +9.0% 2015: -6.5% | 0.72% 12th largest | 1.1 days Per 1 year(s) | +1.70% |
| Month 8 | 13/20 Past 10 years: 6/10 | +1.89% Median: +0.86% | 2011: +12.3% 2008: -9.3% | 0.73% 11th largest | 1.4 days Per 1 year(s) | +9.12% |
| Month 9 | 8/20 Past 10 years: 3/10 | -0.16% Median: -2.03% | 2007: +10.4% 2011: -11.4% | 0.83% 5th largest | 1.9 days Per 1 year(s) | -6.58% |
| Month 10 | 12/20 Past 10 years: 6/10 | +0.58% Median: +1.64% | 2023: +6.9% 2008: -18.0% | 0.85% 4th largest | 2.3 days Per 1 year(s) | -6.87% |
| Month 11 | 11/20 Past 10 years: 5/10 | +1.01% Median: +0.42% | 2008: +13.9% 2016: -7.9% | 0.85% 3th largest | 1.7 days Per 1 year(s) | +0.37% |
| Month 12 | 12/20 Past 10 years: 8/10 | +0.96% Median: +1.84% | 2008: +8.3% 2011: -10.3% | 0.80% 7th largest | 1.4 days Per 1 year(s) | โ |
Silver(Rise = Silver price gain (Futures/USD), 2006โ2025)
How Month 11 performed in typical years
Month 11: Up years 8Times / Down years 12Times
Average +1.51%/ Median -2.23%(2006โ2025) / Past 10 years: 3/10 times
Volatility rank: #3 of 12 months | Days moving 3% or more: 2.9 days per 1 year(s)
Month 11 so far this year +2.28%(Close on 2026-11-02: 50.22)
Monthly average changes (bars / numbers = avg %) and median (dots) Bottom numbers = Up years / Total years
Typical pattern vs. This year Typical pattern = Cumulative line of monthly averages starting from Month 1 over the past 20 years This year
Monthly table
| Month | Up years Out of 20 years | Average Median | Highest / Lowest Year | Volatility 1-day average | Large move days 3% or more | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Month 1 | 14/20 More positive years Past 10 years: 7/10 | +4.34% Median: +3.56% | 2012: +19.2% 2011: -8.9% | 1.38% 9th largest | 2.0 days Per 1 year(s) | +11.63% |
| Month 2 | 10/20 Past 10 years: 3/10 | +1.57% Median: +0.32% | 2011: +20.0% 2023: -11.7% | 1.32% 11th largest | 1.6 days Per 1 year(s) | +18.38% |
| Month 3 | 9/20 Past 10 years: 5/10 | +1.02% Median: -0.49% | 2006: +18.1% 2020: -14.0% | 1.44% 7th largest | 2.2 days Per 1 year(s) | -19.41% |
| Month 4 | 10/20 Past 10 years: 6/10 | +1.71% Median: -0.33% | 2011: +28.3% 2013: -14.7% | 1.49% 5th largest | 2.5 days Per 1 year(s) | -1.55% |
| Month 5 | 9/20 Past 10 years: 6/10 | +0.27% Median: -0.67% | 2009: +26.8% 2011: -21.2% | 1.43% 8th largest | 2.5 days Per 1 year(s) | +2.83% |
| Month 6 | 7/20 Past 10 years: 4/10 | -1.95% Median: -3.16% | 2016: +16.3% 2009: -13.0% | 1.37% 10th largest | 2.6 days Per 1 year(s) | -21.34% |
| Month 7 | 13/20 Past 10 years: 6/10 | +3.45% Median: +1.52% | 2020: +30.5% 2015: -5.2% | 1.29% 12th largest | 2.0 days Per 1 year(s) | -3.17% |
| Month 8 | 10/20 Past 10 years: 4/10 | +1.84% Median: +1.92% | 2013: +19.6% 2008: -23.3% | 1.46% 6th largest | 2.8 days Per 1 year(s) | +14.98% |
| Month 9 | 9/20 Past 10 years: 5/10 | -1.70% Median: -2.72% | 2025: +15.1% 2011: -28.0% | 1.59% 1th largest | 3.0 days Per 1 year(s) | -9.25% |
| Month 10 | 14/20 More positive years Past 10 years: 8/10 | +1.49% Median: +1.80% | 2011: +14.3% 2008: -20.4% | 1.50% 4th largest | 2.8 days Per 1 year(s) | -18.31% |
| Month 11 | 8/20 Past 10 years: 3/10 | +1.51% Median: -2.23% | 2025: +17.6% 2015: -9.7% | 1.55% 3th largest | 2.9 days Per 1 year(s) | +2.28% |
| Month 12 | 11/20 Past 10 years: 7/10 | +1.97% Median: +1.48% | 2025: +24.2% 2011: -14.8% | 1.57% 2th largest | 3.1 days Per 1 year(s) | โ |
Crude Oil (WTI)(Rise = Crude oil price gain (Futures/USD), 2006โ2025)
How Month 11 performed in typical years
Month 11: Up years 9Times / Down years 11Times
Average -2.92%/ Median -2.81%(2006โ2025) / Past 10 years: 4/10 times
Volatility rank: #3 of 12 months | Days moving 3% or more: 3.6 days per 1 year(s)
Month 11 so far this year -3.27%(Close on 2026-11-02: 100.72)
Monthly average changes (bars / numbers = avg %) and median (dots) Bottom numbers = Up years / Total years
Typical pattern vs. This year Typical pattern = Cumulative line of monthly averages starting from Month 1 over the past 20 years This year
Monthly table
| Month | Up years Out of 20 years | Average Median | Highest / Lowest Year | Volatility 1-day average | Large move days 3% or more | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Month 1 | 9/20 Past 10 years: 6/10 | +0.64% Median: -0.65% | 2019: +18.5% 2020: -15.6% | 1.72% 6th largest | 3.1 days Per 1 year(s) | +13.57% |
| Month 2 | 14/20 More positive years Past 10 years: 6/10 | +2.78% Median: +4.18% | 2021: +17.8% 2020: -13.2% | 1.76% 4th largest | 3.0 days Per 1 year(s) | +2.78% |
| Month 3 | 12/20 Past 10 years: 6/10 | +0.45% Median: +4.93% | 2016: +13.6% 2020: -54.2% | 2.14% 1th largest | 4.3 days Per 1 year(s) | +51.27% |
| Month 4 | 13/20 Past 10 years: 6/10 | +3.38% Median: +2.90% | 2015: +25.3% 2025: -18.6% | 1.94% 2th largest | 3.1 days Per 1 year(s) | +3.64% |
| Month 5 | 9/20 Past 10 years: 5/10 | +3.76% Median: -1.21% | 2020: +88.4% 2012: -17.5% | 1.72% 7th largest | 3.6 days Per 1 year(s) | -16.86% |
| Month 6 | 14/20 More positive years Past 10 years: 7/10 | +3.66% Median: +4.38% | 2021: +10.8% 2022: -7.8% | 1.57% 11th largest | 3.0 days Per 1 year(s) | -20.44% |
| Month 7 | 12/20 Past 10 years: 6/10 | -0.46% Median: +0.43% | 2023: +15.8% 2015: -20.8% | 1.54% 12th largest | 2.4 days Per 1 year(s) | +21.83% |
| Month 8 | 8/20 Past 10 years: 4/10 | -2.18% Median: -5.45% | 2012: +9.6% 2022: -9.2% | 1.60% 10th largest | 2.8 days Per 1 year(s) | +1.29% |
| Month 9 | 8/20 Past 10 years: 5/10 | -1.13% Median: -3.50% | 2010: +11.2% 2008: -12.8% | 1.74% 5th largest | 3.2 days Per 1 year(s) | +5.43% |
| Month 10 | 10/20 Past 10 years: 5/10 | -1.30% Median: -1.01% | 2011: +17.7% 2008: -32.6% | 1.69% 9th largest | 3.6 days Per 1 year(s) | +15.15% |
| Month 11 | 9/20 Past 10 years: 4/10 | -2.92% Median: -2.81% | 2020: +26.7% 2018: -22.0% | 1.83% 3th largest | 3.6 days Per 1 year(s) | -3.27% |
| Month 12 | 11/20 Past 10 years: 6/10 | +0.37% Median: +2.98% | 2021: +13.6% 2014: -19.5% | 1.70% 8th largest | 3.2 days Per 1 year(s) | โ |
S&P500(Rise = Stock price gain, 2006โ2025)
How Month 11 performed in typical years
Month 11: Up years 15Times / Down years 5Times More positive years
Average +2.09%/ Median +2.12%(2006โ2025) / Past 10 years: 9/10 times
Volatility rank: #3 of 12 months | Days moving 2% or more: 1.8 days per 1 year(s)
Monthly average changes (bars / numbers = avg %) and median (dots) Bottom numbers = Up years / Total years
Typical pattern vs. This year Typical pattern = Cumulative line of monthly averages starting from Month 1 over the past 20 years This year
Monthly table
| Month | Up years Out of 20 years | Average Median | Highest / Lowest Year | Volatility 1-day average | Large move days 2% or more | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Month 1 | 11/20 Past 10 years: 6/10 | +0.24% Median: +1.50% | 2019: +7.9% 2009: -8.6% | 0.76% 6th largest | 1.4 days Per 1 year(s) | +1.37% |
| Month 2 | 11/20 Past 10 years: 4/10 | -0.05% Median: +0.58% | 2015: +5.5% 2009: -11.0% | 0.75% 7th largest | 1.2 days Per 1 year(s) | -0.87% |
| Month 3 | 13/20 Past 10 years: 6/10 | +1.17% Median: +1.45% | 2009: +8.5% 2020: -12.5% | 1.01% 1th largest | 2.4 days Per 1 year(s) | -5.09% |
| Month 4 | 16/20 More positive years Past 10 years: 7/10 | +1.88% Median: +1.34% | 2020: +12.7% 2022: -8.8% | 0.80% 4th largest | 1.9 days Per 1 year(s) | +10.42% |
| Month 5 | 15/20 More positive years Past 10 years: 9/10 | +0.53% Median: +1.11% | 2025: +6.2% 2010: -8.2% | 0.74% 10th largest | 1.2 days Per 1 year(s) | +5.15% |
| Month 6 | 13/20 Past 10 years: 9/10 | +0.16% Median: +0.29% | 2019: +6.9% 2008: -8.6% | 0.74% 9th largest | 1.6 days Per 1 year(s) | -1.06% |
| Month 7 | 16/20 More positive years Past 10 years: 10/10 | +2.44% Median: +2.07% | 2022: +9.1% 2007: -3.2% | 0.64% 12th largest | 0.8 days Per 1 year(s) | -0.13% |
| Month 8 | 12/20 Past 10 years: 6/10 | +0.16% Median: +1.25% | 2020: +7.0% 2015: -6.3% | 0.74% 8th largest | 1.7 days Per 1 year(s) | +2.62% |
| Month 9 | 11/20 Past 10 years: 5/10 | -0.50% Median: +1.07% | 2010: +8.8% 2022: -9.3% | 0.79% 5th largest | 1.8 days Per 1 year(s) | -0.45% |
| Month 10 | 12/20 Past 10 years: 5/10 | +0.99% Median: +2.13% | 2011: +10.8% 2008: -16.9% | 0.91% 2th largest | 2.1 days Per 1 year(s) | -0.93% |
| Month 11 | 15/20 More positive years Past 10 years: 9/10 | +2.09% Median: +2.12% | 2020: +10.8% 2008: -7.5% | 0.84% 3th largest | 1.8 days Per 1 year(s) | โ |
| Month 12 | 13/20 Past 10 years: 6/10 | +0.59% Median: +0.92% | 2010: +6.5% 2018: -9.2% | 0.72% 11th largest | 1.4 days Per 1 year(s) | โ |
Nasdaq 100(Rise = Stock price gain, 2006โ2025)
How Month 11 performed in typical years
Month 11: Up years 14Times / Down years 6Times More positive years
Average +1.79%/ Median +1.84%(2006โ2025) / Past 10 years: 8/10 times
Volatility rank: #3 of 12 months | Days moving 2% or more: 3.0 days per 1 year(s)
Monthly average changes (bars / numbers = avg %) and median (dots) Bottom numbers = Up years / Total years
Typical pattern vs. This year Typical pattern = Cumulative line of monthly averages starting from Month 1 over the past 20 years This year
Monthly table
| Month | Up years Out of 20 years | Average Median | Highest / Lowest Year | Volatility 1-day average | Large move days 2% or more | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Month 1 | 13/20 Past 10 years: 8/10 | +1.04% Median: +2.12% | 2023: +10.6% 2008: -11.7% | 0.99% 5th largest | 2.8 days Per 1 year(s) | +1.20% |
| Month 2 | 9/20 Past 10 years: 3/10 | +0.32% Median: -0.31% | 2015: +7.0% 2020: -5.9% | 0.94% 6th largest | 2.2 days Per 1 year(s) | -2.32% |
| Month 3 | 14/20 More positive years Past 10 years: 7/10 | +1.75% Median: +1.98% | 2009: +10.7% 2025: -7.7% | 1.17% 1th largest | 3.5 days Per 1 year(s) | -4.89% |
| Month 4 | 14/20 More positive years Past 10 years: 7/10 | +2.19% Median: +2.01% | 2020: +15.2% 2022: -13.4% | 1.00% 4th largest | 2.7 days Per 1 year(s) | +15.64% |
| Month 5 | 13/20 Past 10 years: 7/10 | +1.50% Median: +3.25% | 2025: +9.0% 2019: -8.4% | 0.89% 10th largest | 2.1 days Per 1 year(s) | +10.49% |
| Month 6 | 11/20 Past 10 years: 7/10 | +0.67% Median: +0.68% | 2019: +7.6% 2008: -9.6% | 0.92% 9th largest | 2.4 days Per 1 year(s) | -0.19% |
| Month 7 | 17/20 More positive years Past 10 years: 9/10 | +3.50% Median: +2.75% | 2022: +12.6% 2006: -4.2% | 0.83% 12th largest | 1.8 days Per 1 year(s) | -6.61% |
| Month 8 | 13/20 Past 10 years: 7/10 | +0.96% Median: +1.18% | 2020: +11.0% 2015: -6.8% | 0.92% 8th largest | 2.6 days Per 1 year(s) | +4.18% |
| Month 9 | 10/20 Past 10 years: 4/10 | -0.24% Median: +0.30% | 2010: +13.0% 2008: -14.8% | 0.93% 7th largest | 2.2 days Per 1 year(s) | +3.23% |
| Month 10 | 12/20 Past 10 years: 5/10 | +1.59% Median: +4.14% | 2015: +11.2% 2008: -16.3% | 1.09% 2th largest | 3.5 days Per 1 year(s) | -6.65% |
| Month 11 | 14/20 More positive years Past 10 years: 8/10 | +1.79% Median: +1.84% | 2020: +11.0% 2008: -11.2% | 1.02% 3th largest | 3.0 days Per 1 year(s) | โ |
| Month 12 | 11/20 Past 10 years: 7/10 | +0.33% Median: +0.44% | 2023: +5.5% 2022: -9.1% | 0.87% 11th largest | 1.9 days Per 1 year(s) | โ |
Nikkei 225(Rise = Stock price gain, 2006โ2025)
How Month 11 performed in typical years
Month 11: Up years 12Times / Down years 8Times
Average +1.94%/ Median +1.78%(2006โ2025) / Past 10 years: 7/10 times
Volatility rank: #6 of 12 months | Days moving 2% or more: 2.8 days per 1 year(s)
Month 11 so far this year -0.33%(Close on 2026-11-02: 63,082)
Monthly average changes (bars / numbers = avg %) and median (dots) Bottom numbers = Up years / Total years
Typical pattern vs. This year Typical pattern = Cumulative line of monthly averages starting from Month 1 over the past 20 years This year
Monthly table
| Month | Up years Out of 20 years | Average Median | Highest / Lowest Year | Volatility 1-day average | Large move days 2% or more | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Month 1 | 11/20 Past 10 years: 5/10 | -0.70% Median: +0.44% | 2024: +8.4% 2008: -11.2% | 1.15% 3th largest | 3.2 days Per 1 year(s) | +5.93% |
| Month 2 | 11/20 Past 10 years: 5/10 | +0.16% Median: +0.24% | 2012: +10.5% 2020: -8.9% | 1.04% 4th largest | 2.8 days Per 1 year(s) | +10.37% |
| Month 3 | 11/20 Past 10 years: 5/10 | +0.66% Median: +1.45% | 2010: +9.5% 2020: -10.5% | 1.20% 1th largest | 3.6 days Per 1 year(s) | -13.23% |
| Month 4 | 12/20 Past 10 years: 6/10 | +1.80% Median: +1.09% | 2013: +11.8% 2012: -5.6% | 1.03% 5th largest | 2.7 days Per 1 year(s) | +16.10% |
| Month 5 | 13/20 Past 10 years: 8/10 | +0.45% Median: +1.95% | 2020: +8.3% 2010: -11.7% | 0.93% 10th largest | 2.0 days Per 1 year(s) | +11.88% |
| Month 6 | 13/20 Past 10 years: 7/10 | +0.79% Median: +1.37% | 2023: +7.5% 2016: -9.6% | 0.96% 9th largest | 2.1 days Per 1 year(s) | +5.63% |
| Month 7 | 10/20 Past 10 years: 5/10 | +0.34% Median: +0.06% | 2016: +6.4% 2021: -5.2% | 0.84% 12th largest | 1.8 days Per 1 year(s) | -8.14% |
| Month 8 | 9/20 Past 10 years: 6/10 | -0.84% Median: -1.21% | 2020: +6.6% 2011: -8.9% | 1.00% 8th largest | 2.8 days Per 1 year(s) | +3.03% |
| Month 9 | 11/20 Past 10 years: 6/10 | +0.12% Median: +0.27% | 2013: +8.0% 2008: -13.9% | 1.01% 7th largest | 2.6 days Per 1 year(s) | +0.67% |
| Month 10 | 11/20 Past 10 years: 6/10 | +0.98% Median: +1.07% | 2025: +16.6% 2008: -23.8% | 1.17% 2th largest | 2.8 days Per 1 year(s) | -5.19% |
| Month 11 | 12/20 Past 10 years: 7/10 | +1.94% Median: +1.78% | 2020: +15.0% 2009: -6.9% | 1.03% 6th largest | 2.8 days Per 1 year(s) | -0.33% |
| Month 12 | 14/20 More positive years Past 10 years: 7/10 | +1.74% Median: +2.25% | 2009: +12.8% 2018: -10.5% | 0.87% 11th largest | 1.8 days Per 1 year(s) | โ |
How to read & notes
- Up years= Number of years where the month-end price was higher than the previous month-end. Figures for the past 10 years are also shown (to see if it is just a past tendency).
- Average and median: 1 large move(s) (e.g., 2008, 2022) can significantly distort the average. Please check the median and count as well.
- "More up years / More down years"The mark is assigned to months where the direction was the same in 70% or more of the past 20 years. It does not indicate a reason.
- Magnitude of price movement & high-volatility days: Counted from changes in closing prices over 1 day(s) (a unique Market Shock Watch metric). Designed to identify 'volatile months' regardless of upward or downward movement.
- Even over 20 years, 1 month has only 20 data points. Biases can occur by chance.
About the Data
- Source: Daily closing prices from Yahoo Finance (yfinance): USD/JPY JPY=X, EUR/USD EURUSD=X, Gold GC=F, Silver SI=F, Crude Oil CL=F (all futures), S&P 500 ^GSPC, Nasdaq 100 ^NDX, Nikkei 225 ^N225.
- Calculation: Calculated on this site. Movements exceeding 8% for FX, 12% for gold, 25% for silver, 35% for crude oil, and 20% for stock indices in 1 day(s) (such as the negative crude oil price day in 4 2020) are treated as data errors and excluded from price movement calculations.
- Updates: Daily (figures for this year increase continuously; figures for the past 20 years are updated at the turn of the year).
For More on Seasonality (Reference Sites)
Equity Clock (English): Compiles seasonality charts and commentary for various assets including stocks, commodities, and currencies.
The figures on this page are not Equity Clock data, but are calculated by this site from the source prices above. Numbers may not match due to differences in calculation periods and methods.